Mets vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks – Updated July 12, 2025
Francisco Lindor and the New York Mets are set to face off against Bobby Witt Jr. and the Kansas City Royals at Kauffman Stadium this Saturday at 4:10 p.m. ET. In this matchup, the Royals are underdogs with a moneyline of +110, while the Mets are favored at -132. New York is also the run-line favorite at -1.5. The total for this game is set at 9 runs, with odds of -112 for the over and -108 for the under.
Here’s everything you need to know from a betting perspective regarding the Mets-Royals game, including run line details, moneyline odds, and expert picks. Keep up with MLB on FOX Sports.
Mets vs. Royals Game Information & Odds
When: Saturday, July 12, 2025, at 4:10 p.m. ET
Where: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri
How to watch on TV: FDSKC and SNY
Favorite: Mets -132
Underdog: Royals +110
Total: 9
Over Odds: -112
Under Odds: -108
Run Line Favorite: Mets -1.5
Run Line Odds for Underdog: Royals +122
Mets vs. Royals Prediction
Score Prediction: Royals 5, Mets 4
Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
Win Probabilities: Mets 52%, Royals 48%
Mets vs. Royals Betting Insights
This season, the Mets have won 43 of the 67 games they were favored in, giving them a winning percentage of 64.2%. When favored by -132 or more, New York has posted a record of 33-18, equating to a 64.7% win rate. The odds imply a 56.9% chance of victory for the Mets.
On the other hand, the Royals have managed to win 28, or 46.7%, of the 60 games in which they were underdogs this season. Kansas City’s record stands at 14-19 when the moneyline is at +110 or worse okbet holdings inc. The implied probability of winning for the Royals is 47.6% based on the current odds.
Mets Recent Betting Performance
The Mets were moneyline favorites in seven of their last 10 games, finishing with a record of 4-3. They have gone over the total in seven of their past 10 matchups, with all games having established totals. Their record against the spread (ATS) in those games is 3-7-0.
Mets Recent Stats
Record: 6-4
Runs Per Game: 5.3
Home Runs: 14
ERA: 4.65
K/9: 7.5
Mets Player Insights
Juan Soto leads the team with 22 home runs and ranks 10th in the majors in homers and 31st in RBIs. Pete Alonso contributes with 77 RBIs and a batting average of .281, placing 12th in home runs and third in RBIs for the season.
Francisco Lindor is batting .263, recording 18 doubles and 19 home runs along with 33 walks. He has achieved at least one base hit in his last six games and is batting .308 over the past 10, with three doubles, three home runs, four walks, and 11 RBIs. Brandon Nimmo also features in the lineup, contributing with 17 doubles, 18 home runs, 28 walks, and a .261 batting average, entering this game on a four-game hitting streak.
Mets Team Props
- Pete Alonso: Hits O/U 0.5 (-245), Total Bases O/U 1.5 (+100), RBI O/U 0.5 (+115)
- Mark Vientos: Hits O/U 0.5 (-230), Total Bases O/U 1.5 (+120), RBI O/U 0.5 (+155)
- Juan Soto: Hits O/U 0.5 (-235), Total Bases O/U 1.5 (+115), RBI O/U 0.5 (+150)
- Jeff McNeil: Hits O/U 0.5 (-250), Total Bases O/U 1.5 (+130), RBI O/U 0.5 (+195)
- Francisco Lindor: Hits O/U 1.5 (+185), Total Bases O/U 1.5 (-110), RBI O/U 0.5 (+140)
Royals Recent Betting Performance
The Royals have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games, achieving a record of 4-3. In these games, they have not gone over the total six times. Moreover, the Royals have recorded six wins against the spread in their last 10 opportunities.
Royals Recent Stats
Record: 7-3
Runs Per Game: 4.5
Home Runs: 15
ERA: 3 allianz global.58
K/9: 8.7
Royals Player Insights
Bobby Witt Jr. is batting .297 with 32 doubles, three triples, 14 home runs, and 29 walks, boasting an on-base percentage of .347. He is on a 14-game hitting streak and has hit .400 over his last 10 games, collecting three doubles, three home runs, and nine RBIs.
Maikel Garcia leads his team with a jili free games.301 batting average. Vinnie Pasquantino tops the Royals in home runs with 15 and RBIs with 56 phdream 333 login register online. Salvador Perez contributes with 24 doubles, 13 home runs, 16 walks, and a .248 batting average.
Royals Team Props
- Vinnie Pasquantino: Hits O/U 0.5 (-255), Total Bases O/U 1.5 (+115), RBI O/U 0.5 (+165)
- Salvador Pérez: Hits O/U 0.5 (-225), Total Bases O/U 1.5 (+120), RBI O/U 0.5 (+155)
- Maikel Garcia: Hits O/U 0.5 (-245), Total Bases O/U 1.5 (+130), RBI O/U 0.5 (+170)
- Jonathan India: Hits O/U 0.5 (-250), Total Bases O/U 1.5 (+120), RBI O/U 0.5 (+215)
- Bobby Witt Jr.: Hits O/U 1.5 (+155), Total Bases O/U 1.5 (-125), RBI O/U 0. 777pub login5 (+145)
What do you think will be the outcome of the game between the Mets and the Royals?